11
King Steed
6yo Horse · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Conseil Regional Pays De La Loire - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 7 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 53% | -0.05 |
| 02/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 62% | -0.15 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 77% | -0.15 |