4

Kiss Me To Live

6yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Conseil Regional Pays De La Loire - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move6
Strength21%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Angers 11/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 011/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 07/05/2024 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 30/05/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 030/05C?C0 @ Laval 08/11/2024 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 26/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/02C?C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 01/06C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Nantes?4th4th0
2026-04-15Cordemais?2nd2nd0
2026-02-11Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-01-26Mauquenchy?1st1st0
2025-12-08Cabourg?4th4th0
2024-12-08Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/048/1111/021/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20241st33/10%100%+1.00
07/05/20246th40/10%62%+0.62
30/05/20246th25/10%58%+0.58
08/11/202414th80/10%13%+0.13
08/12/20254th11/271%79%+0.08
26/01/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
11/02/20263rd4/179%86%+0.07
15/04/20262nd1/195%92%-0.03
01/06/20264th7/282%77%-0.05