4
Happy Du Las Vegas
9yo Mare · 10-3
Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y
#10
Rank
Odds
120/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-07 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-30 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-15 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-31 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2024 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 30/09/2024 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/10/2024 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/11/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 09/11/2024 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/07/2025 | 16th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/07/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 31/07/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |