12
Heracles Du Layon
9yo Gelding · 10-1
Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 05/11/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 24/11/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |