3

Ippon Magic

8yo Gelding · 10-3

Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 12/07/2023 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 14312/07C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 27/07/2023 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 14327/07C?C0 @ Les Sables 07/08/2023 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1437/08C?C0 @ Nantes 09/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1439/05C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14328/05C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 14330/06C?5 @ Pornichet 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 14320/085projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Pornichet52nd2nd0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?1st1st0
2026-05-28Meslay Du Maine?1st1st0
2026-03-08Cordemais?0
2024-05-09Nantes?1st1st0
2023-08-07Les Sables?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/079/0520/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20231st6/168%100%+0.32
27/07/20231st6/492%100%+0.08
07/08/20232nd5/493%90%-0.03
09/05/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
28/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
30/06/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
20/08/20262nd11/893%93%+0.01