6

Jaguar De Villetot
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y
#12
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 63% | -0.30 |
| 31/03/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |