6

Jaguar De Villetot

7yo Gelding · 10-3

Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y

#12

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 15/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 14315/03C?C0 @ Caen 31/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 139C0 @ La Capelle 11/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 14311/07C?C0 @ Strasbourg 28/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 143C0 @ Mauquenchy 11/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14311/09C?C0 @ Enghien 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 128C0 @ Amiens 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 1434/03C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 30/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 143C0 @ Chartres 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 14331/05C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Amiens?0
2026-05-31Chartres?9th9th0
2026-03-30Le Croise-Laroche?6th6th0
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?0
2026-03-04Amiens?3rd3rd0
2025-10-18Enghien?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0328/084/0331/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20254th11/893%63%-0.30
31/03/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
11/07/20257th13/266%33%-0.32
28/08/20254th14/126%63%+0.36
11/09/20254th10/147%70%+0.23
18/10/20256th9/153%50%-0.03
04/03/20263rd40/10%78%+0.78
30/03/20266th9/153%50%-0.03
31/05/20269th12/137%33%-0.04