10
Jilanza Du Moulin
7yo Mare · 10-3
Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Pornichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 58% | -0.21 |
| 15/01/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |