8
Jow Piquenard
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-02-02 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 03/02/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 13/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |