2
Vasterbo Blizzard
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Pornichet · Prix Hotel Sud Bretagne Pornichet - Monte · 1m 5f 120y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -18.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |