8

Mademoiselle Jolie

4yo Filly · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#5

Rank

Odds

75/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 29/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 029/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 010/12C?5 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 022/015C0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/02C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-10Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-22Vincennes56th6th0
2025-12-29Vincennes?0
2025-12-10Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-05-29Nantes?5th5th0
2025-04-29Graignes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0510/1222/0110/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20255th18/15%67%+0.61
10/12/20253rd10/147%78%+0.30
22/01/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
10/02/20261st15/890%100%+0.10