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9

Madison Matidy

4yo Filly · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 17/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12817/05C?6 @ Mauquenchy 12/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/016C0 @ Vincennes 27/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 13427/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1343/02C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-03Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-27Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-01-12Mauquenchy63rd4th−1
2025-06-06Vincennes?0
2025-05-17Caen?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0512/0127/013/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20253rd5/174%85%+0.11
12/01/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
27/01/20262nd8/158%89%+0.31
03/02/20261st9/488%100%+0.12