4
Magic De Bella
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/12/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |