3
Major Du Margas
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#12
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 03/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |