10
Malika Du Surf
4yo Filly · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#14
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 27/06/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |