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11

Mec De Mutrecy

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

61%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 015/03C?C0 @ Feurs 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/06C?C0 @ Laval 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/07C?5 @ Pornichet 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 020/085projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Pornichet52nd2nd0
2026-07-20La Capelle?0
2026-07-05Laval?3rd3rd0
2026-06-12Feurs?1st1st0
2026-05-03La Capelle?0
2026-03-15Chartres?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0312/065/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength91%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
12/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
05/07/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
20/08/20262nd17/255%91%+0.36