6

Mercato Des Forges

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Ouest France - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 07/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y 07/08C?5 @ Mauquenchy 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/025C0 @ Les Sables 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 04/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?10th10th0
2026-08-04Les Sables?2nd2nd0
2026-04-12Graignes?0
2026-03-06Pontchateau?0
2026-02-12Mauquenchy51st1st0
2025-08-07Enghien?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0812/024/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20259th10/147%11%-0.36
12/02/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
04/08/20262nd14/126%92%+0.65
26/08/202610th14/126%25%-0.01