2

Kamelie Du Plessis

6yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Du Pmu Le Ralli Pornichet - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#14

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 12/08/2023 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 012/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 29/08/2023 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/08C?C0 @ Vire 03/03/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03/03C?C0 @ Lisieux 16/03/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/03C?C0 @ Reims 08/04/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 08/04C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-07-11Amiens?0
2024-04-08Reims?6th6th0
2024-03-16Lisieux?6th6th0
2024-03-03Vire?10th10th0
2023-08-29La Capelle?10th10th0
2023-08-12Argentan?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0829/083/0316/038/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend +17.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20234th6/168%57%-0.11
29/08/202310th28/10%25%+0.25
03/03/202410th66/10%40%+0.40
16/03/20246th66/10%67%+0.67
08/04/20246th50/10%55%+0.55