12

Kenisa

6yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Du Pmu Le Ralli Pornichet - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 020/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 15/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/03C?C0 @ Chartres 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 08/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 08/07C?6 @ Pornichet 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 05 @ Laval 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS10/095projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Laval56th5th+1
2026-08-27Pornichet63rd3rd0
2026-07-08Pornichet?8th8th0
2026-06-17Chartres?8th8th0
2026-03-15Chartres?9th9th0
2025-12-28Vincennes?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1028/128/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/202510th22/10%47%+0.47
08/11/202511th25/10%33%+0.33
22/11/20257th18/15%60%+0.55
28/12/202511th50/10%29%+0.29
15/03/20269th100/10%47%+0.47
17/06/20268th28/10%42%+0.42
08/07/20268th66/10%42%+0.42
27/08/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
10/09/20266th50/10%62%+0.62