12

Kenisa
6yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Du Pmu Le Ralli Pornichet - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Pornichet | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 08/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 28/12/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |