14

Kymijally
6yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Du Pmu Le Ralli Pornichet - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 85% | -0.07 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 94% | +0.10 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 94% | +0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 42% | -0.43 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 13th | 1/1 | 95% | 8% | -0.87 |