14

Kymijally

6yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix Du Pmu Le Ralli Pornichet - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

88%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 29/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/03C?C0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/10C?6 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/04C?5 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Nantes 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 01/06C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 05 @ Laval 10/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS10/095projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Laval513th12th+1
2026-07-13Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2026-06-17Chartres?0
2026-06-01Nantes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-08La Capelle53rd2nd+1
2026-04-15Cordemais?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0315/021/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20253rd6/492%85%-0.07
20/10/20252nd3/184%94%+0.10
28/10/20252nd9/488%94%+0.06
15/02/20263rd13/891%86%-0.06
15/04/20268th3/184%42%-0.43
08/05/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32
01/06/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
13/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
10/09/202613th1/195%8%-0.87