14
National Hero
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Du Challenge Au Trot 2026 - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +33.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 31/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |