10
Noble Du Surf
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix Du Challenge Au Trot 2026 - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 24/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |