13

Happy De Touchyvon

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#10

Rank

Odds

70/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 02/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 02/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 28/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 015/04C?C0 @ Angers 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f117y 0C0 @ Les Sables 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 02/06C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 06 @ Les Sables 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 011/076C0 @ Pornichet 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 011/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Saint-Malo?5th5th0
2026-07-30Pornichet?5th5th0
2026-07-11Les Sables66th6th0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?7th7th0
2026-06-02Les Sables?8th8th0
2026-05-12Angers?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0712/0511/0711/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20253rd5/287%85%-0.02
28/08/202514th50/10%13%+0.13
15/04/202616th80/10%0%0.00
12/05/20266th28/10%64%+0.64
02/06/20268th100/10%46%+0.46
30/06/20267th14/126%57%+0.31
11/07/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
30/07/20265th66/10%60%+0.60
11/08/20265th28/10%67%+0.67