3

Hercule De L'oison

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#15

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lisieux 18/03/2022 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 018/03C?C0 @ Caen 29/03/2022 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Caen 01/06/2022 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Gd 01/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 16/08/2022 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Caen 12/09/2022 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 012/09C?C0 @ Cabourg 12/07/2024 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y 0C0 @ Caen 21/09/2024 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 021/09C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 025/05C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-25Chateaubriant?11th11th0
2025-02-22Amiens?0
2024-09-21Caen?12th12th0
2024-07-12Cabourg?13th13th0
2024-05-01Hyeres?0
2024-03-29Marseille?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0316/0821/0925/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/03/20226th40/10%58%+0.58
29/03/20221st16/116%100%+0.84
01/06/20222nd7/282%93%+0.11
16/08/202210th20/10%10%+0.10
12/09/20226th22/10%55%+0.55
12/07/202413th20/10%8%+0.08
21/09/202412th66/10%35%+0.35
25/05/202511th33/10%38%+0.38