2

Heroine De Tala

9yo Mare · 0-0

Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#5

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 31/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 031/03C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 12/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 21/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/09C?C0 @ Cordemais 30/03/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 08/06C?8 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Pontchateau 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 06 @ Les Sables 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 011/076projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Les Sables63rd3rd0
2026-04-12Pontchateau?5th5th0
2026-03-08Cordemais?4th4th0
2026-02-15Pontchateau82nd4th2
2025-06-08Saint-Malo?9th9th0
2025-03-30Cordemais?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0330/038/0311/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/03/20245th16/116%71%+0.56
12/05/20247th11/142%25%-0.17
21/09/20243rd50/10%85%+0.85
30/03/202511th28/10%33%+0.33
08/06/20259th40/10%33%+0.33
15/02/20262nd13/266%92%+0.27
08/03/20264th20/10%80%+0.80
12/04/20265th15/261%69%+0.09
11/07/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62