2

Heroine De Tala
9yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 8 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-06-08 | Saint-Malo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Cordemais | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 12/05/2024 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 21/09/2024 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 30/03/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/06/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |