15
Hoppela Thepol
9yo Mare · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Pornichet | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/12/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 41% | +0.36 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |