4
Hyak Des Fontaines
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 8 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-12-30 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2022 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |
| 30/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 77% | -0.13 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |