7
Jobic Kergwen
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Pornichet · Prix De L'unat - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/12/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 26/08/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |