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6

Brielle

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 56

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Remington Park 25/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS25/10C6C9 @ Remington Park 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 43 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 43 parC6 @ Remington Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 50 · 6f110y 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 50 par20/12C6OR 50C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 12/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 48 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 48 parC6 @ Will Rogers Downs 09/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 55 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 55 par9/02C6OR 55C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 23/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 55 · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Will Rogers Downs 16/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 53 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 53 par16/03C6OR 53C6 @ Will Rogers Downs 24/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/03/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Will Rogers Downs 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 59 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 59 par20/04C6OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-20Will Rogers Downs?4th1st+3
2026-03-24Will Rogers Downs?2nd-1th+3
2026-03-16Will Rogers Downs?5th2nd+3
2026-02-23Will Rogers Downs?3rd0th+3
2026-02-09Will Rogers Downs?8th5th+3
2026-01-12Will Rogers Downs?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1012/0116/0320/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -11.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20258th20/10%36%+0.36
23/11/20252nd5/174%83%+0.10
20/12/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
12/01/20262nd20/10%91%+0.91
09/02/20268th9/153%30%-0.23
23/02/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
16/03/20265th9/488%43%-0.45
24/03/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
20/04/20264th13/891%40%-0.51