7

Kelbela

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 59

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turf Paradise 23/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS23/02C7C7 @ Turf Paradise 19/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 69 par19/03C7OR 69C6 @ Lone Star 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f110y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 72 par6/06C6OR 72C6 @ Lone Star 28/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 70 par28/06C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Lone Star?9th6th+3
2026-06-06Lone Star?4th1st+3
2026-03-19Turf Paradise?4th2nd+2
2026-02-23Turf Paradise?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0219/036/0628/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/02/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
19/03/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
06/06/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
28/06/20269th20/10%11%+0.11