2

Olympic Star

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 63

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Oaklawn Park 19/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS19/04C6C6 @ Fair Grounds 04/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 69 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/01/2026 · OR 69 par4/01C6OR 69C6 @ Oaklawn Park 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 76 par6/03C6OR 76C9 @ Keeneland 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 64 par17/04C9OR 64C9 @ Churchill Downs 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 65 · 7f Gd 124 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 65 par22/05C9OR 65C9 @ Churchill Downs 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 57 · 6f 125 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 57 par25/06C9OR 57C9 @ Ellis Park 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 62 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 62 par17/07C9OR 62projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Ellis Park?4th4th0
2026-06-25Churchill Downs?4th4th0
2026-05-22Churchill Downs?8th8th0
2026-04-17Keeneland?4th4th0
2026-03-06Oaklawn Park?9th6th+3
2026-01-04Fair Grounds?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0417/0417/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength93%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
04/01/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
06/03/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
17/04/20264th7/163%40%-0.23
22/05/20268th6/168%22%-0.46
25/06/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
17/07/20264th9/153%57%+0.05