6

Honoddor

8yo Gelding · 10-12

Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Ici Mayenne Cross Country Chase · 2m 7f 134y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m6f190y Ver 1474/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 06/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m6f190y Ver 1476/11C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Craon2+2
2026-04-05Le Lion D'angers?0
2025-11-06Fontainebleau?5th5th0
2025-10-04Fontainebleau?5th5th0
2025-01-10Pau?0
2022-07-28Le Lion D'angers?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/106/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength2%

Delivery trend -15.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20255th22/10%33%+0.33
06/11/20255th11/142%60%+0.18