9
Jess Tavel
8yo Mare · 10-10
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Ici Mayenne Cross Country Chase · 2m 7f 134y
#4
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-09-02 | Craon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-08-04 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-07-11 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-06-17 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-04-01 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2023 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 01/04/2023 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/08/2024 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 02/09/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |