3
Joinville Le Pont
7yo Gelding · 11-11
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Ici Mayenne Cross Country Chase · 2m 7f 134y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-29 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Le Mans | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2024-07-02 | Les Sables | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2023-12-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | −4 | ||
| 2023-12-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-06-20 | Nantes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2023 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 24/03/2023 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 12/04/2023 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 01/06/2023 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 20/06/2023 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/12/2023 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 02/07/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/05/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 29/05/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |