2
Lyrical Star
5yo Filly · 11-13
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Ici Mayenne Cross Country Chase · 2m 7f 134y
#3
Rank
Odds
17/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Pau | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pau | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-10 | Moulins | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 23/03/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |