5
Aston D'enocq
8yo Gelding · 11-0
Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |