8
Irun Lord
8yo Gelding · 10-5
Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cholet | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 09/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 01/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 29/11/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |