6

Jalway

7yo Gelding · 11-0

Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

72%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 22/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 15422/04C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m3f85y GS 158C0 @ Angers 11/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f144y GS 12711/09C?C0 @ Amiens 10/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f91y Sft 128C0 @ Pornichet 29/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 13129/11C?C0 @ Pornichet 19/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 1273 @ Nantes 11/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 15811/053C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 158C8 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m3f85y GS 15028/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?1st1st0
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?10th10th0
2026-05-11Nantes38th8th0
2025-12-19Pornichet?13th13th0
2025-11-29Pornichet?8th8th0
2025-11-10Amiens?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0410/1111/0528/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20259th40/10%50%+0.50
05/05/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
11/09/20258th11/271%53%-0.18
10/11/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
29/11/20258th7/282%22%-0.59
19/12/202513th18/15%14%+0.09
11/05/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
27/07/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
28/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47