4
Jump Des Mottes
7yo Gelding · 11-1
Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Dieppe | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 05/04/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 01/05/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/07/2025 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |