3

Kimfly

6yo Mare · 11-3

Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 23/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14123/09C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 21/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 144C0 @ Pau 16/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 15216/12C?C0 @ Pau 07/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 146C0 @ Pau 28/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 14328/01C?C0 @ Auteuil 14/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 154C0 @ Mont De Marsan 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 2m2f31y Hvy 15712/03C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m3f85y Gd 144C0 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1518/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?6th6th0
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?5th5th0
2026-03-12Mont De Marsan?2nd2nd0
2026-02-14Auteuil?6th6th0
2026-01-28Pau?5th5th0
2026-01-07Pau?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/097/0112/038/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
21/10/20256th20/10%55%+0.55
16/12/20253rd7/163%80%+0.17
07/01/20262nd13/266%92%+0.27
28/01/20265th9/276%69%-0.07
14/02/20266th4/179%50%-0.29
12/03/20262nd2/189%93%+0.04
01/07/20265th14/126%64%+0.37
08/09/20266th12/137%64%+0.27