2
Lou Marina
7yo Mare · 11-4
Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 47% | -0.27 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 19/12/2025 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 04/03/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |