1
Raffles Liaison
8yo Gelding · 11-4
Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#9
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 31/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 08/09/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |