7

Rock Teen

7yo Gelding · 10-7

Senonnes-Pouance · Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#4

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 11/04/2022 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f199y GF 14511/04C?C0 @ Nantes 20/06/2023 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 15420/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 11/09/2023 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 15411/09C?C8 @ Chateaubriant 27/04/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m4f193y Sft 15427/04C8C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1468/05C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 1525/06C?C0 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 15110/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Dieppe?8th8th0
2026-06-05Le Lion D'angers?3rd3rd0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?1st1st0
2024-04-27Chateaubriant?3rd3rd0
2024-04-14Senonnes-Pouance?0
2023-09-11Clairefontaine?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0427/0410/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20225th16/116%64%+0.48
20/06/20237th14/126%25%-0.01
11/09/20238th20/10%36%+0.36
27/04/20243rd7/163%82%+0.19
08/05/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
05/06/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
10/07/20268th14/126%42%+0.15