3
Brun De Tzar
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Race And Care Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 15/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 29/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |