4
Macaboucombo
4yo Gelding · 10-10
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Race And Care Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#7
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength35%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Pau | 3 | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-12-24 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -31.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |