2
Metronome D'ainay
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Race And Care Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#1
Rank
Odds
14/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength87%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +3.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Auteuil | 2 | +6 | ||
| 2026-01-20 | Pau | 3 | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -87.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |