9

Amicis

6yo Mare · 9-2

Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#1

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

77%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pornichet 22/02/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12222/02C5C5 @ Pornichet 27/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 122C0 @ Deauville 26/11/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12826/11C?C0 @ Pornichet 05/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 131C0 @ Deauville 23/01/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 12723/01C?C5 @ Pornichet 06/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 124C0 @ Pornichet 26/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12226/03C?C0 @ Argentan 26/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 129C0 @ Deauville 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Hvy 12930/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-30Deauville?1st1st0
2025-06-26Argentan?3rd3rd0
2025-03-26Pornichet?3rd3rd0
2025-02-06Pornichet?9th10th1
2025-01-23Deauville?13th13th0
2025-01-05Pornichet?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/025/0126/0330/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20245th5/174%56%-0.18
27/03/20245th12/137%67%+0.30
26/11/202410th28/10%40%+0.40
05/01/20253rd8/158%82%+0.24
23/01/202513th16/116%20%+0.04
06/02/20259th18/15%20%+0.15
26/03/20253rd14/126%87%+0.60
26/06/20253rd12/137%83%+0.46
30/08/20251st9/153%100%+0.47