11
Balina Gary
8yo Mare · 8-7
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Pornichet | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 12/05/2025 | 14th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.60 |
| 12/11/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |
| 05/12/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 15% | -0.11 |
| 19/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |