3
Coco Light
8yo Gelding · 9-4
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#2
Rank
Odds
19/10
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 02/08/2026 | 14th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.63 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |