2
Courting
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 10.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Chateaubriant | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-09-23 | Craon | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2023-01-04 | Pau | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2022 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 01/10/2022 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 20/12/2022 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 15% | -0.48 |
| 04/01/2023 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 23/09/2024 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 21/08/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/11/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |