1
Golden River
6yo Mare · 9-6
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲5731
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6888.1 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5735.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -5731.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 15th | 41281th | −34388 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 05/02/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 18/02/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |
| 27/02/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 12/07/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |